Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001099 1.246170e-03 0.001395 0.001557 0.001726 0.001899 0.002087
2025-03-30 0.000844 1.065480e-03 0.001300 0.001563 0.001849 0.002147 0.002481
2025-04-06 0.000645 9.213437e-04 0.001228 0.001585 0.001984 0.002411 0.002897
2025-04-13 0.000492 8.086931e-04 0.001178 0.001624 0.002136 0.002694 0.003340
2025-04-20 0.000325 6.526320e-04 0.001062 0.001577 0.002185 0.002862 0.003657
2025-04-27 0.000196 5.173605e-04 0.000954 0.001528 0.002225 0.003015 0.003957
2025-05-04 0.000133 4.587632e-04 0.000934 0.001581 0.002382 0.003301 0.004407
2025-05-11 0.000065 3.652086e-04 0.000855 0.001552 0.002436 0.003466 0.004717
2025-05-18 0.000014 2.582372e-04 0.000739 0.001463 0.002410 0.003532 0.004911
2025-05-25 NaN 1.907638e-04 0.000668 0.001427 0.002443 0.003666 0.005181
2025-06-01 NaN 1.293043e-04 0.000591 0.001375 0.002451 0.003764 0.005407
2025-06-08 NaN 8.979074e-05 0.000542 0.001356 0.002500 0.003910 0.005686
2025-06-15 NaN 6.859023e-05 0.000532 0.001409 0.002659 0.004212 0.006179
2025-06-22 NaN 4.176045e-05 0.000498 0.001423 0.002770 0.004463 0.006618
2025-06-29 NaN 2.312260e-05 0.000473 0.001449 0.002900 0.004739 0.007093
2025-07-06 NaN 1.148045e-05 0.000458 0.001491 0.003053 0.005045 0.007607
2025-07-13 NaN 2.871643e-07 0.000396 0.001449 0.003086 0.005202 0.007941
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001404 0.003112 0.005347 0.008261
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000334 0.001456 0.003277 0.005671 0.008799
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000291 0.001429 0.003325 0.005842 0.009151
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000226 0.001345 0.003283 0.005896 0.009355
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000189 0.001311 0.003313 0.006040 0.009669
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000149 0.001260 0.003316 0.006146 0.009934